Prediction of a 10-year risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the Turkish population A cross-sectional study

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dc.authoridDagdeviren, Hamdi Nezih/0000-0001-5428-4377
dc.authoridSezer, Önder/0000-0001-5073-3905
dc.authorwosidDagdeviren, Hamdi Nezih/AAA-3946-2020
dc.authorwosidSezer, Önder/ABH-2125-2021
dc.contributor.authorSezer, Onder
dc.contributor.authorLafci, Neslihan Ozdogan
dc.contributor.authorKorkmaz, Selcuk
dc.contributor.authorDagdeviren, Hamdi Nezih
dc.date.accessioned2024-06-12T10:59:25Z
dc.date.available2024-06-12T10:59:25Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.departmentTrakya Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractAccording to the International Diabetes Federation, Turkey will be among the top 10 countries in the world with the highest prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) by 2045, with a speculated number of cases of 10.4 million. This study aimed to predict the 10-year risk of type 2 DM in a Turkish population, assess potential factors of the 10-year risk of DM, and assess the outcomes of Turkey's 2015 to 2020 program for DM. Individuals aged 20-64 years were categorized and stratified according to age (in ranges of 5 years), sex, and populations of family medicine centers to reflect the whole population. The Finnish Diabetes Risk Score, sociodemographic characteristics, body fat, muscle, bone ratio, blood pressure, and waist-to-height ratio were evaluated. We found that 9.5% (n = 71) of the population aged 20 to 64 years will have DM within the next 10 years. Low levels of education (odds ratio [OR]: 2.054; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.011-4.174), smoking cessation (OR: 2.636; 95% CI: 1.260-5.513), a waist-to-height ratio >0.5 (OR: 6.885; 95% CI: 2.301-20.602), body fat percentage (OR: 1.187; 95% CI: 1.130-1.247), high systolic blood pressure (OR: 1.025; 95% CI: 1.009-1.041), and alcohol consumption (beta-estimation: -0.690; OR: 0.501; 95% CI: 0.275-0.914) affect the 10-year risk of type 2 DM. Individuals at risk for DM can be easily identified using risk assessment tools in primary care; however, there is no active screening program in the healthcare system, and only proposals exist. In addition to screening, preventive measures should focus on raising awareness of DM, reducing body fat percentage and systolic blood pressure, and decreasing the waist-to-height ratio to <0.5.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipTrakya University Scientific Research Projects Unit (TUBAP) [2019-257]en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was supported by the Trakya University Scientific Research Projects Unit (TUBAP) under Grant 2019-257.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1097/MD.0000000000027721
dc.identifier.issn0025-7974
dc.identifier.issn1536-5964
dc.identifier.issue44en_US
dc.identifier.pmid34871266en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85120890959en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1097/MD.0000000000027721
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14551/20437
dc.identifier.volume100en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000727992700017en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMeden_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherLippincott Williams & Wilkinsen_US
dc.relation.ispartofMedicineen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectDiabetes Mellitusen_US
dc.subjectGeneral Practiceen_US
dc.subjectPrevalenceen_US
dc.subjectPreventive Careen_US
dc.subjectPrimary Healthcareen_US
dc.subjectType 2en_US
dc.subjectFindriscen_US
dc.titlePrediction of a 10-year risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the Turkish population A cross-sectional studyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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