Developing and comparing two different prognostic indexes for predicting disease-free survival of nonmetastatic breast cancer patients
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2011
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Tubitak Scientific & Technological Research Council Turkey
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Aim: To determine 2 different prognostic indexes (PI) for the differentiation of subgroups of nonmetastatic breast cancer patients with the Cox regression analysis and survival tree (ST) methods and the additional usage of the Kaplan-Meier estimates to investigate the predictive power of these methods. Materials and methods: Prognostic factors data were collected for 410 patients. The Cox regression analysis examines the relationship of the survival distribution and covariates. The ST method is a tree-structured survival analysis based on a recursive partitioning algorithm. In this study, Harrell's concordance indexes of models for training and test sets were computed. Furthermore, survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Disease-free survival (DFS) was calculated from the time of initial diagnosis (initiation of the first treatment) to the first recurrence of disease. Results: After a median follow-up of 48 months, 100 (24.4%) patients have had at least 1 of the DFS events. In Cox regression analysis, we proposed the simple PI, which is a sum of axillary nodal and HER2/neu status. In the ST method, we identified 3 variables: HER2/neu, axillary nodal, and estrogen receptor status. The axillary nodal status was the most important determining factor for recurrence. Conclusion: We found that the PI of the ST and Cox regression methods had similar performance levels in predicting DFS, and the error rates of the models were close to each other in the training and test sets. Furthermore, we determined that the axillary nodal status and HER2/neu were the most important determining factors for prediction of DFS in breast cancer patients.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Breast Cancer, Survival Tree, Recursive Partitioning, Disease-Free Survival, Prognostic Index, International Expert Consensus, Gene Amplification, Primary Therapy, Her-2/Neu Gene, Expression, Highlights, Recurrence, Protein
Kaynak
Turkish Journal Of Medical Sciences
WoS Q Değeri
Q4
Scopus Q Değeri
Q3
Cilt
41
Sayı
5
